Sunday, October 26, 2014

Koktish:

As economic difficulties dlisted will affect dlisted Russia Belarus?
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Norwegian salmon with Belarusian passport Russia wants revenge for sanctions Russia has no other resources for integration, besides subsidies partner - expert Russian dlisted ruble continues to break records fall in the price of oil fell to $ 86 per barrel
Falling oil prices leads to a weakening of the Russian ruble. What prospects await the Russian economy? Which will be a long-term impact of these processes on Belarus? Should we expect a new economic preferences from Moscow?
Members: Associate Professor of the Moscow State Institute of International Relations of Moscow Kirill dlisted Koktysh and Director of the Research Center of the Institute for Privatization and Management Alexander Chubrik from Minsk.
Karbalevich "world oil prices dlisted continue to fall. This leads to a weakening of the Russian ruble, although the Central Bank of the Russian dlisted Federation to spend $ 4 billion last week to support the exchange rate. Some exchange offices in Moscow appeared shortage of currency. dlisted What is happening in the Russian economy? What trends are developing there? What will happen with the economy of Russia? "
Kirill Koktysh: "The main factor that affects the Russian economy - a drop in oil prices. It was the result of an agreement or the US from Saudi Arabia or IGIILu factor, or both reasons together. Russian Ruble YTD fell by almost a quarter.
But, on the other hand, Russian, if more - Eurasian dlisted market exempt from foreign goods. dlisted And this is just a resource for the development of its production. Next year will be difficult, but a year later due to start growth. As a result, the Russian economy will be healthy. "
Alexander Chubrik: "Recent events have shown how much the Russian economy is dependent on energy exports. dlisted For several years, the Russian leadership allegedly is modernizing, but until the economy can not function without its padsychennya oil and gas money. Therefore, even if Russia out of recession, its economy will not grow rapidly. A year ago, before all the latest international developments, the official forecast did not provide long-term growth of the Russian economy by more than 1-2%. For such an economy is extremely slow pace.
Besides the fall in oil prices, the second negative factor for the Russian economy - Western sanctions. They affect inflation to rising food prices. Most likely, Russia will face a recession next two years, and possibly in 2016 ".
Karbalevich: "What will be the long-term impact of these processes on Belarus? Should we expect a new economic preferences from Moscow? That was a lot of talk that due to the economic dlisted difficulties dlisted of Russian subsidies dlisted Belarusian economy will decrease dlisted or even disappear. But recent events show that there is almost exactly the opposite. Moscow's decision to leave in the Belarusian budget duty on petroleum products was the generous gift of Belarus. And this at a time when the subsidies are reduced to the Russian dlisted regions, the local budgets in Russia. How do you comment on this? "
Koktish: "In fact, the Russian economy vyshturhanaya West in a standalone dlisted state. As a result, a large market freed from imported goods. And it will work under the administrative engines. Created a new situation. Now Russia and its allies in the Union - Kazakhstan and Belarus - have to switch from consumption to production. Need to conduct reindustryyalizatsyyu. Belarus has a good position here, as it has retained its indust

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